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Red117
59950.3
412354.3
508913.6
Blue101
113845.6
407919.1
116038.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125108050150117101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +20
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
92Total teleop72
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
117Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.3
49.650.0
Auto13.1
Teleop36.9
End4.4
red by 8.8
1138
#13
45.60.1
48.448.3
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End9.5
Second
599
#3
50.30.3
41.642.0
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
red by 11.9
1160
#26
38.40.1
34.434.3
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End2.0
Third
5089
#33
13.60.3
20.621.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 5.5
4079
#42
19.10.1
19.619.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed