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Red147
29476.3
59950.3
347632.0
Blue117
852129.6
69117.9
119760.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186128050100150250300350147117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +19
21Coral scored#16
74Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
12Processor points6
20Net points24
32Algae points30
106Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#7
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points8
147Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#5
76.31.5
68.066.5
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
red by 16.3
60.00.7
78.077.3
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End5.7
Second
599
#3
50.31.5
42.641.1
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
red by 20.7
8521
#10
29.60.7
20.419.7
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
Third
3476
#19
32.01.5
59.157.6
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End4.2
red by 14.0
691
#18
17.90.8
20.820.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed