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Red60
432240.3
1102413.4
347324.8
Blue58
407919.1
265934.1
340822.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137105501502006058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
7Coral scored#2
26Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
36Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
14Foul points42
60Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#27
40.35.2
60.154.9
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
red by 6.1
2659
#35
34.15.8
36.831.0
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Second
3473
#28
24.85.2
43.938.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End2.2
red by 2.7
3408
#34
22.16.5
26.720.3
Auto3.2
Teleop17.2
End1.6
Third
13.44.3
13.49.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 5.8
4079
#42
19.15.8
36.730.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned