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Red169
263761.4
1102413.4
59950.3
Blue101
499926.6
70234.4
508913.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11283050100150200169101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+74Teleop
+74Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +56
22Coral scored#11
79Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
111Total teleop55
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#4
9L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points6
169Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.44.2
48.953.1
Auto17.1
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 27.1
702
#17
34.40.4
31.331.8
Auto8.1
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Second
599
#3
50.34.2
42.046.2
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
red by 23.7
4999
#31
26.60.4
24.224.6
Auto4.1
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Third
13.46.6
4.411.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 0.3
5089
#33
13.60.4
21.021.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsEarned