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Red138
29476.3
68728.5
375917.6
Blue187
519968.7
59734.9
704241.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116146050100200250138187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+51
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +54
13Coral scored#29
47Coral points105
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
79Total teleop133
Reef
5L4#18
5L3#7
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#39
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
138Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#5
76.31.8
67.569.3
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
red by 7.6
5199
#15
68.73.6
66.770.3
Auto11.0
Teleop46.7
End10.9
Second
687
#22
28.51.8
27.629.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
blue by 12.8
41.33.6
37.240.8
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Third
3759
#29
17.61.8
16.318.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 17.3
597
#24
34.93.6
29.332.8
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned