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Red128
96817.8
580527.7
116038.4
Blue176
69654.3
35996.6
8060-0.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621870100150250300350128176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+44
Endgame+52
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points29
16Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +31
22Coral scored#21
80Coral points77
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#7
12Processor points30
12Net points28
24Algae points58
104Total teleop135
Reef
6L4#8
8L3#8
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
4Foul points0
128Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#26
38.42.6
34.337.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End2.0
blue by 58.3
359
#1
96.60.7
95.596.2
Auto20.5
Teleop65.6
End10.6
Second
5805
#25
27.72.6
20.423.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 26.6
696
#8
54.30.7
53.053.6
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End0.8
Third
968
#40
17.82.6
15.418.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.2
red by 17.9
8060
#32
-0.20.7
3.54.2
Auto1.8
Teleop-2.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned