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Red69
226.1
441946.0
347324.8
Blue159
852129.6
940883.7
113845.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7717905010015020025030069159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+60
Endgame+84
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +57
10Coral scored#21
37Coral points74
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
51Total teleop108
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points6
69Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#12
46.00.9
48.447.6
Auto7.6
Teleop30.5
End7.9
blue by 37.6
83.70.2
81.581.7
Auto16.1
Teleop56.9
End10.7
Second
3473
#28
24.80.9
30.329.5
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End2.2
blue by 20.8
1138
#13
45.60.2
48.348.5
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End9.5
Third
22
#38
6.10.9
3.12.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 23.5
8521
#10
29.60.2
20.520.7
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned