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Red148
271027.3
119760.0
325552.2
Blue143
432240.3
447029.5
340822.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17493050150200250300148143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+23Teleop
+13Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
19Coral scored#20
69Coral points73
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
105Total teleop107
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points8
148Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.1
63.663.5
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End5.7
red by 19.8
4322
#27
40.32.5
46.649.1
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
Second
3255
#14
52.20.1
55.555.3
Auto9.0
Teleop35.4
End7.8
red by 22.7
4470
#16
29.52.5
27.630.1
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End9.9
Third
2710
#23
27.30.1
28.027.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.0
red by 5.3
3408
#34
22.12.5
20.723.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned