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Red146
412354.3
420139.4
427627.9
Blue96
265934.1
66588.8
69117.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12944010015020025014696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+38Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
86Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
8Foul points8
146Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.31.5
50.051.4
Auto13.1
Teleop36.9
End4.4
red by 20.2
2659
#35
34.11.9
31.333.2
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Second
4201
#11
39.41.5
32.734.2
Auto8.5
Teleop24.8
End6.1
red by 21.5
691
#18
17.91.9
16.418.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End6.2
Third
4276
#37
27.91.5
27.228.7
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End7.0
red by 19.1
6658
#41
8.81.9
6.18.0
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed