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Red101
70234.4
69654.3
622020.8
Blue16
8060-0.2
347324.8
56694.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1283905010015020010116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+83Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +73
16Coral scored#1
58Coral points5
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
78Total teleop5
Reef
9L4#1
5L3#0
2L2#0
4L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
101Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#8
54.30.7
53.653.0
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End0.8
red by 29.5
3473
#28
24.81.9
29.527.6
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End2.2
Second
702
#17
34.40.7
31.831.1
Auto8.1
Teleop25.1
End1.2
red by 29.8
5669
#30
4.51.9
10.38.4
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End2.0
Third
6220
#21
20.80.7
19.819.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End3.8
red by 21.0
8060
#32
-0.21.9
4.22.3
Auto1.8
Teleop-2.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed