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Red152
407919.1
940883.7
119760.0
Blue110
1102413.4
519968.7
96817.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18896050150250300152110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+52Teleop
+52Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points14
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +28
15Coral scored#13
54Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
18Processor points12
20Net points4
38Algae points16
92Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points10
152Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.70.9
81.780.8
Auto16.1
Teleop56.9
End10.7
red by 14.9
5199
#15
68.70.0
70.370.4
Auto11.0
Teleop46.7
End10.9
Second
60.00.9
63.562.6
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End5.7
red by 42.2
968
#40
17.80.0
18.118.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.2
Third
4079
#42
19.10.9
19.919.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End1.7
red by 5.8
13.40.1
11.011.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed