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Red68
66588.8
580527.7
499926.6
Blue44
432240.3
508913.6
347632.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5513901002002503006844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +45
9Coral scored#3
33Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
57Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points12
68Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#25
27.70.2
23.123.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 12.6
4322
#27
40.35.8
49.143.2
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
Second
4999
#31
26.60.2
24.624.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.6
End5.9
blue by 5.4
3476
#19
32.05.8
41.135.2
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End4.2
Third
6658
#41
8.80.2
8.08.2
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End3.5
blue by 4.8
5089
#33
13.65.8
21.415.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned