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Red139
116038.4
441946.0
265934.1
Blue162
704241.3
607220.7
29476.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125145050100200250300139162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave0
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points36
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +27
18Coral scored#24
63Coral points88
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
85Total teleop112
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#12
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
139Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#12
46.01.2
47.648.8
Auto7.6
Teleop30.5
End7.9
blue by 30.3
294
#5
76.32.0
69.371.3
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
Second
1160
#26
38.41.2
37.038.2
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End2.0
blue by 2.9
41.32.0
40.842.8
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Third
2659
#35
34.11.2
33.234.4
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
red by 13.5
6072
#36
20.72.0
19.121.1
Auto2.6
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned