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Red104
59734.9
375917.6
447029.5
Blue213
412354.3
35996.6
226.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77182050100150200250300104213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+26
Teleop+113
Endgame+115
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +26
3Leave0
3Coral scored#9
16Coral points45
19Total auto45
TeleoperatedBlue +87
11Coral scored#23
41Coral points84
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#11
12Processor points24
12Net points44
24Algae points68
65Total teleop152
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#11
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#7
19Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
6Foul points0
104Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#24
34.90.4
32.833.2
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
blue by 61.7
359
#1
96.63.5
96.299.6
Auto20.5
Teleop65.6
End10.6
Second
4470
#16
29.50.4
30.130.4
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End9.9
blue by 24.8
54.33.5
51.454.9
Auto13.1
Teleop36.9
End4.4
Third
3759
#29
17.60.4
18.118.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 11.5
22
#38
6.13.5
2.35.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned