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Red89
519968.7
508913.6
8060-0.2
Blue99
347632.0
325552.2
441946.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911590502002503008999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
8Coral scored#12
29Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
49Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
12Foul points8
89Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#15
68.70.8
70.469.6
Auto11.0
Teleop46.7
End10.9
red by 16.6
3255
#14
52.23.3
55.952.6
Auto9.0
Teleop35.4
End7.8
Second
5089
#33
13.60.8
15.614.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 32.4
4419
#12
46.03.3
48.845.5
Auto7.6
Teleop30.5
End7.9
Third
8060
#32
-0.20.8
2.31.6
Auto1.8
Teleop-2.1
End0.2
blue by 32.1
3476
#19
32.03.3
35.232.0
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsMissed