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Red218
119760.0
29476.3
412354.3
Blue133
347324.8
580527.7
35996.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20716350100250300350218133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+53Teleop
+73Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points26
37Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +48
24Coral scored#20
85Coral points71
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
30Processor points12
28Net points12
58Algae points24
143Total teleop95
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#6
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#30
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
12Foul points0
218Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#5
76.30.8
71.372.1
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
blue by 20.3
359
#1
96.61.5
99.698.1
Auto20.5
Teleop65.6
End10.6
Second
60.00.8
62.663.4
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End5.7
red by 32.3
5805
#25
27.71.5
23.321.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
Third
54.30.8
54.955.7
Auto13.1
Teleop36.9
End4.4
red by 29.5
3473
#28
24.81.5
27.626.0
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed