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Red95
432240.3
271027.3
265934.1
Blue127
70234.4
56694.5
940883.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11214005010020095127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
66Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
95Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#27
40.30.6
43.242.6
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
blue by 43.4
83.70.0
80.880.8
Auto16.1
Teleop56.9
End10.7
Second
2659
#35
34.10.6
34.433.8
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
blue by 0.2
702
#17
34.40.0
31.131.1
Auto8.1
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
2710
#23
27.30.6
26.626.0
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.0
red by 22.8
5669
#30
4.50.0
8.48.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed