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Red127
68728.5
59734.9
69654.3
Blue88
375917.6
59950.3
427627.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12910505015020025012788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+47Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +55
21Coral scored#11
77Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
111Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
127Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#8
54.30.3
53.053.2
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End0.8
red by 4.0
599
#3
50.31.2
50.549.3
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
Second
597
#24
34.90.3
33.233.5
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
red by 7.0
4276
#37
27.91.2
29.228.0
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End7.0
Third
687
#22
28.50.3
28.128.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
red by 10.9
3759
#29
17.61.2
18.417.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned