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Red102
852129.6
704241.3
447029.5
Blue91
499926.6
1102413.4
407919.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11453010015020025010291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
77Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points6
102Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.0
42.842.9
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 14.7
4999
#31
26.61.8
24.926.7
Auto4.1
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Second
8521
#10
29.60.0
25.025.1
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
red by 10.5
4079
#42
19.11.8
19.020.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Third
4470
#16
29.50.0
30.430.5
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End9.9
red by 16.1
13.42.4
11.013.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed