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Red92
432240.3
114843.1
704241.3
Blue154
580527.7
263761.4
852129.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149107020030040092154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+50
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +33
11Coral scored#19
38Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
72Total teleop105
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
92Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1148
#20
43.12.9
44.141.2
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End6.0
blue by 18.3
61.43.0
55.558.5
Auto17.1
Teleop36.4
End8.0
Second
41.32.9
42.940.0
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 11.7
8521
#10
29.63.0
25.128.1
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
Third
4322
#27
40.32.9
42.639.8
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
red by 12.6
5805
#25
27.73.0
21.724.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed