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Red116
420139.4
607220.7
499926.6
Blue165
271027.3
29476.3
70234.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91152050200250116165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+61
Endgame+61
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points33
13Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +41
14Coral scored#26
51Coral points92
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
75Total teleop116
Reef
9L4#12
4L3#9
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#6
22Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
12Foul points0
116Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#11
39.40.1
39.939.8
Auto8.5
Teleop24.8
End6.1
blue by 36.9
294
#5
76.31.3
72.173.4
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
Second
4999
#31
26.60.1
26.726.6
Auto4.1
Teleop16.6
End5.9
blue by 7.8
702
#17
34.41.3
31.132.5
Auto8.1
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
6072
#36
20.70.1
20.720.7
Auto2.6
Teleop15.7
End2.4
blue by 6.7
2710
#23
27.31.3
26.027.3
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned