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Red94
441946.0
432240.3
96817.8
Blue113
447029.5
69117.9
59950.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1399305020025094113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +7
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
58Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#6
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
6Foul points30
94Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#12
46.02.2
45.843.6
Auto7.6
Teleop30.5
End7.9
blue by 4.3
599
#3
50.30.3
41.140.8
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
Second
4322
#27
40.32.2
54.952.7
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
red by 10.8
4470
#16
29.50.4
27.026.6
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End9.9
Third
968
#40
17.82.2
20.918.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.2
blue by 0.2
691
#18
17.90.3
20.119.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned