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Red180
519968.7
59950.3
432240.3
Blue161
704241.3
113845.6
325552.2
76%Model gave it24%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17914050100200250300180161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+31Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +20
27Coral scored#20
98Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
18Processor points12
20Net points32
38Algae points44
136Total teleop116
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#8
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
180Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#15
68.70.4
69.770.1
Auto11.0
Teleop46.7
End10.9
red by 16.6
3255
#14
52.20.5
51.652.2
Auto9.0
Teleop35.4
End7.8
Second
599
#3
50.30.4
51.351.7
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
red by 4.8
1138
#13
45.60.5
45.045.6
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End9.5
Third
4322
#27
40.30.4
41.241.6
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
blue by 1.1
41.30.5
40.841.3
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6