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Red257
35996.6
59734.9
940883.7
Blue204
29476.3
580527.7
263761.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23716950100150200300350257204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+51Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +51
27Coral scored#28
96Coral points99
8Processor algae#1
9Net algae#6
48Processor points6
36Net points24
84Algae points30
180Total teleop129
Reef
14L4#12
11L3#10
9L2#10
3L1 · trough#5
54Game pieces#44
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
257Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
96.60.9
95.696.5
Auto20.5
Teleop65.6
End10.6
red by 20.3
294
#5
76.30.8
75.476.1
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
Second
83.70.9
82.683.5
Auto16.1
Teleop56.9
End10.7
red by 22.2
61.40.8
60.561.3
Auto17.1
Teleop36.4
End8.0
Third
597
#24
34.90.9
33.834.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
red by 7.2
5805
#25
27.70.8
26.727.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5