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Red176
519968.7
59950.3
432240.3
Blue163
119760.0
347632.0
69654.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17615450100200250176163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points34
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +2
21Coral scored#21
75Coral points77
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
24Processor points24
24Net points20
48Algae points44
123Total teleop121
Reef
10L4#14
8L3#5
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#37
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
176Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#15
68.70.3
69.469.7
Auto11.0
Teleop46.7
End10.9
red by 8.7
60.00.4
59.660.0
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End5.7
Second
599
#3
50.30.3
51.051.3
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
blue by 4.0
696
#8
54.30.4
53.954.3
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End0.8
Third
4322
#27
40.30.3
40.941.2
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
red by 8.3
3476
#19
32.00.4
31.632.0
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End4.2