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Red152
704241.3
113845.6
325552.2
Blue107
265934.1
68728.5
852129.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15386050100200250152107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+21Teleop
+47Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +27
24Coral scored#17
85Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
113Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#8
10L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points2
152Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#14
52.20.3
51.351.6
Auto9.0
Teleop35.4
End7.8
red by 18.0
2659
#35
34.10.3
33.834.1
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Second
1138
#13
45.60.3
44.745.0
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End9.5
red by 15.9
8521
#10
29.60.3
29.329.6
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
Third
41.30.3
40.440.8
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 12.8
687
#22
28.50.3
28.228.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4