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Red223
35996.6
59734.9
940883.7
Blue176
114843.1
441946.0
70234.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240115050150200300350223176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+51Teleop
+53Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +37
28Coral scored#21
99Coral points76
4Processor algae#5
10Net algae#5
24Processor points30
40Net points20
64Algae points50
163Total teleop126
Reef
11L4#8
9L3#9
8L2#7
8L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#37
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points6
223Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
96.60.3
94.294.5
Auto20.5
Teleop65.6
End10.6
red by 50.6
4419
#12
46.01.2
44.245.3
Auto7.6
Teleop30.5
End7.9
Second
83.70.3
81.281.5
Auto16.1
Teleop56.9
End10.7
red by 40.6
1148
#20
43.11.2
41.242.4
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End6.0
Third
597
#24
34.90.3
32.432.8
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
red by 0.6
702
#17
34.41.2
32.533.6
Auto8.1
Teleop25.1
End1.2