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Red159
704241.3
113845.6
325552.2
Blue118
119760.0
96817.8
69654.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144145120125130135140150155160159118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
+13Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave3
2Coral scored#8
9Coral points41
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#11
74Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
102Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#6
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#22
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +41
12Foul points6
159Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#14
52.20.3
50.951.1
Auto9.0
Teleop35.4
End7.8
blue by 7.9
60.00.4
59.559.0
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End5.7
Second
1138
#13
45.60.3
44.344.5
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End9.5
blue by 8.8
696
#8
54.30.4
53.853.3
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End0.8
Third
41.30.3
40.040.3
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 23.5
968
#40
17.80.4
18.217.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.2