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Red187
519968.7
59950.3
432240.3
Blue104
265934.1
68728.5
852129.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18476050100150200250300187104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+77Teleop
+87Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
29Coral scored#17
105Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
143Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#5
8L2#4
7L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points4
187Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#15
68.70.6
68.268.9
Auto11.0
Teleop46.7
End10.9
red by 34.6
2659
#35
34.10.3
32.632.9
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Second
599
#3
50.30.6
49.850.5
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
red by 20.7
8521
#10
29.60.3
28.128.4
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
Third
4322
#27
40.30.6
39.840.4
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
red by 11.8
687
#22
28.50.3
27.027.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4