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Red216
29476.3
580527.7
263761.4
Blue155
420139.4
412354.3
116038.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17713950100200250300216155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+41Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
23Coral scored#23
81Coral points83
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
30Processor points12
28Net points24
58Algae points36
139Total teleop119
Reef
14L4#8
10L3#5
4L2#8
5L1 · trough#7
45Game pieces#36
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
216Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#5
76.31.2
73.474.6
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
red by 22.0
54.30.4
54.755.1
Auto13.1
Teleop36.9
End4.4
Second
61.41.2
58.559.7
Auto17.1
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 22.0
4201
#11
39.40.4
39.840.1
Auto8.5
Teleop24.8
End6.1
Third
5805
#25
27.71.2
24.826.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 10.7
1160
#26
38.40.4
38.839.1
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End2.0