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Red269
1323112.5
39941.6
441493.4
Blue228
908465.7
114832.3
35994.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264194100150250300350269228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
9Leave6
13Coral scored#7
63Coral points37
72Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +14
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points75
5Processor algae#3
10Net algae#12
30Processor points18
40Net points48
70Algae points66
155Total teleop141
Reef
14L4#12
13L3#9
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
52Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points8
269Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.1
112.4112.5
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 18.3
359
#4
94.20.3
93.994.2
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
Second
93.40.1
93.393.4
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
red by 27.7
65.70.3
65.465.7
Auto14.7
Teleop42.4
End8.6
Third
399
#18
41.60.1
41.641.6
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
red by 9.3
1148
#25
32.30.3
32.032.3
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7