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Red249
1323112.5
39941.6
441493.4
Blue167
908465.7
114832.3
35994.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263196100150250300350249167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+82Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
3Leave0
14Coral scored#7
69Coral points33
72Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +43
28Coral scored#16
101Coral points58
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#8
18Processor points18
32Net points32
50Algae points50
151Total teleop108
Reef
19L4#7
10L3#9
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
53Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
249Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.0
112.4112.4
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 18.3
359
#4
94.20.6
94.593.9
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
Second
93.40.0
93.393.3
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
red by 27.7
65.70.6
66.065.4
Auto14.7
Teleop42.4
End8.6
Third
399
#18
41.60.0
41.541.6
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
red by 9.3
1148
#25
32.30.6
32.632.0
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7