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Red199
138872.3
822935.5
98779.8
Blue205
908465.7
114832.3
35994.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1932050100300400500199205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+12Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points29
44Total auto38
TeleoperatedRed +6
31Coral scored#19
111Coral points67
3Processor algae#6
2Net algae#7
18Processor points36
8Net points28
26Algae points64
137Total teleop131
Reef
18L4#10
11L3#5
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points0
199Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#7
79.80.2
79.579.8
Auto19.7
Teleop50.1
End10.1
blue by 14.5
359
#4
94.20.3
94.294.5
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
Second
72.30.2
72.072.3
Auto15.3
Teleop50.3
End6.7
red by 6.6
65.70.3
65.766.0
Auto14.7
Teleop42.4
End8.6
Third
8229
#19
35.50.2
35.235.5
Auto7.2
Teleop25.9
End2.4
red by 3.1
1148
#25
32.30.3
32.332.6
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7