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Red252
908465.7
242954.9
441493.4
Blue135
97358.0
98779.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22416750100150200250300252135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+69Teleop
+81Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
6Leave6
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points15
51Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +39
27Coral scored#14
97Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
129Total teleop90
Reef
12L4#8
9L3#4
9L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +117
36Foul points0
252Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.40.8
90.991.7
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
red by 13.6
987
#7
79.81.6
84.182.5
Auto19.7
Teleop50.1
End10.1
Second
65.70.8
63.964.7
Auto14.7
Teleop42.4
End8.6
red by 7.7
973
#11
58.01.6
59.457.7
Auto12.3
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Third
2429
#15
54.90.8
49.350.1
Auto8.9
Teleop37.3
End8.7
red by 45.8
9.12.7
15.713.0
Auto0.8
Teleop9.0
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned