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Red170
1323112.5
432239.2
145210.2
Blue53
800610.0
1018318.7
392510.5
100%Model gave it0%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2122705010015025030035017053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+99Teleop
+97Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +75
22Coral scored#6
80Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
108Total teleop33
Reef
11L4#2
8L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +117
20Foul points0
170Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.51.6
109.9108.3
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 93.8
18.70.3
16.516.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End8.7
Second
4322
#20
39.21.6
39.638.0
Auto9.1
Teleop29.6
End0.5
red by 28.7
3925
#32
10.50.2
12.612.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Third
1452
#29
10.21.6
13.411.8
Auto0.5
Teleop9.1
End0.6
red by 0.2
8006
#31
10.00.2
15.615.4
Auto1.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
84%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned