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Red220
441493.4
528536.4
138872.3
Blue127
364720.0
98779.8
375920.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20711050150250300220127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+79Teleop
+91Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
11Coral scored#5
55Coral points27
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +51
29Coral scored#18
104Coral points65
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
134Total teleop83
Reef
13L4#11
11L3#5
8L2#3
8L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
2Foul points0
220Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.42.3
91.794.0
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
red by 13.6
987
#7
79.80.9
82.583.5
Auto19.7
Teleop50.1
End10.1
Second
72.32.3
63.165.4
Auto15.3
Teleop50.3
End6.7
red by 51.7
3759
#23
20.60.9
16.117.0
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End1.6
Third
5285
#22
36.42.3
28.831.1
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End4.1
red by 16.5
3647
#21
20.00.9
14.315.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned