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Red113
69659.5
432239.2
351246.3
Blue104
265939.6
347647.9
145210.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16669050100150200250113104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+7Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
86Total teleop93
Reef
4L4#7
7L3#6
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
113Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#8
59.51.8
57.655.8
Auto12.5
Teleop44.9
End2.1
red by 11.6
47.91.8
34.536.3
Auto7.4
Teleop34.9
End5.6
Second
46.31.8
44.242.4
Auto7.7
Teleop29.9
End8.6
red by 6.6
2659
#16
39.61.8
29.030.8
Auto5.7
Teleop33.6
End0.3
Third
4322
#20
39.21.8
38.036.2
Auto9.1
Teleop29.6
End0.5
red by 28.9
1452
#29
10.21.8
11.813.6
Auto0.5
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed