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Red31
210225.5
3512B25.3
822935.5
Blue172
39941.6
715740.6
35994.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9119505015025030031172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+37
Teleop+119
Endgame+141
Fouls+141
AutonomousBlue +37
6Leave9
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points34
6Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +82
3Coral scored#18
11Coral points65
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
0Processor points12
4Net points20
4Algae points32
15Total teleop97
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#7
1L2#6
0L1 · trough#4
4Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +141
6Foul points6
31Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8229
#19
35.54.7
44.639.9
Auto7.2
Teleop25.9
End2.4
blue by 58.8
359
#4
94.20.2
88.888.7
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
Second
2102
#35
25.54.7
35.931.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.0
End7.4
blue by 16.1
399
#18
41.60.2
45.345.1
Auto9.1
Teleop28.2
End4.3
Third
25.37.8
14.66.8
Auto1.8
Teleop20.9
End2.6
blue by 15.2
7157
#17
40.60.2
34.234.1
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned