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Red188
114832.3
433.6
1323112.5
Blue118
242954.9
800537.4
973B19.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22794050150200250300188118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +59
24Coral scored#12
88Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
112Total teleop53
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#4
8L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
6Foul points6
188Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.50.3
108.3108.0
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 57.6
2429
#15
54.90.9
50.151.0
Auto8.9
Teleop37.3
End8.7
Second
4
#26
33.60.3
40.139.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
blue by 3.9
8005
#10
37.40.9
31.031.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.0
End5.5
Third
1148
#25
32.30.3
38.538.2
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7
red by 13.2
973B
#28
19.11.5
17.118.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed