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Red37
386326.9
800610.0
Blue97
97358.0
4414B39.6
392510.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651380501001502002503797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+54
Endgame+68
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
3Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +31
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
18Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
14Foul points6
37Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#33
26.93.5
41.237.8
Auto3.8
Teleop19.4
End3.8
blue by 31.1
973
#11
58.01.7
57.756.0
Auto12.3
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
8006
#31
10.03.5
15.411.9
Auto1.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 29.6
39.62.9
39.236.3
Auto6.3
Teleop31.5
End1.9
Third
6.53.8
9.45.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 4.0
3925
#32
10.51.7
12.310.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned