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Red107
347647.9
822935.5
432239.2
Blue219
441493.4
1323112.5
3512B25.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103246050150200300350107219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+100
Endgame+112
Fouls+112
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points38
23Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +82
14Coral scored#24
52Coral points86
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#11
12Processor points24
8Net points44
20Algae points68
72Total teleop154
Reef
8L4#16
4L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +112
0Foul points0
107Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.4
36.335.9
Auto7.4
Teleop34.9
End5.6
blue by 64.6
112.50.7
108.0108.7
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
Second
4322
#20
39.20.4
36.235.9
Auto9.1
Teleop29.6
End0.5
blue by 54.2
93.40.7
94.094.7
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
Third
8229
#19
35.50.4
39.939.6
Auto7.2
Teleop25.9
End2.4
red by 10.1
25.31.1
6.88.0
Auto1.8
Teleop20.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned