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Red147
98779.8
210225.5
351246.3
Blue98
364720.0
35994.2
800610.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18113105010015020025014798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+29Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
18Coral scored#16
64Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
78Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
147Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#7
79.80.7
83.582.8
Auto19.7
Teleop50.1
End10.1
blue by 14.5
359
#4
94.21.2
88.787.5
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
Second
46.30.7
42.441.7
Auto7.7
Teleop29.9
End8.6
red by 26.3
3647
#21
20.01.2
15.314.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Third
2102
#35
25.50.7
31.230.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.0
End7.4
red by 15.5
8006
#31
10.01.2
11.910.7
Auto1.3
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned