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Red37
375920.6
4414B39.6
Blue35
528536.4
114832.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60890501001502003735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
Endgame+2
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
20Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
4Foul points0
37Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.62.9
36.333.4
Auto6.3
Teleop31.5
End1.9
red by 3.2
5285
#22
36.43.0
31.128.1
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End4.1
Second
3759
#23
20.61.7
17.015.3
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End1.6
blue by 11.7
1148
#25
32.33.0
38.235.2
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7
Third
6.51.7
5.53.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 2.5
9.15.0
10.65.6
Auto0.8
Teleop9.0
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed