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Red146
715740.6
1018318.7
441946.5
Blue152
138872.3
265939.6
386326.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87155050100200250146152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +39
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points69
1Processor algae#5
2Net algae#6
6Processor points30
8Net points24
14Algae points54
84Total teleop123
Reef
5L4#8
9L3#7
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points0
146Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#13
46.52.9
37.640.5
Auto9.3
Teleop28.7
End8.5
blue by 25.8
72.30.4
65.465.8
Auto15.3
Teleop50.3
End6.7
Second
7157
#17
40.62.9
34.136.9
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End5.5
red by 0.9
2659
#16
39.60.4
30.831.2
Auto5.7
Teleop33.6
End0.3
Third
18.72.9
14.817.7
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End8.7
blue by 8.3
3863
#33
26.90.4
37.838.2
Auto3.8
Teleop19.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned