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Red87
375920.6
800537.4
1018318.7
Blue112
715740.6
347647.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678505010015020025087112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +22
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
46Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
6Foul points12
87Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#10
37.41.1
31.132.2
Auto9.9
Teleop22.0
End5.5
blue by 10.4
47.91.6
35.937.5
Auto7.4
Teleop34.9
End5.6
Second
3759
#23
20.61.1
15.316.5
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End1.6
blue by 20.0
7157
#17
40.61.6
36.938.5
Auto6.7
Teleop28.4
End5.5
Third
18.71.1
17.718.8
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End8.7
red by 12.1
6.51.6
3.85.3
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned