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Red208
392510.5
908465.7
1323112.5
Blue200
528536.4
69659.5
35994.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201182050100150250300208200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+12Teleop
+20Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave6
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points37
41Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +14
31Coral scored#24
111Coral points85
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
12Processor points24
20Net points20
32Algae points44
143Total teleop129
Reef
13L4#13
12L3#6
9L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#40
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points12
208Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.52.0
108.7110.7
Auto28.0
Teleop72.1
End12.4
red by 18.3
359
#4
94.21.0
87.588.5
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
Second
65.72.0
60.062.0
Auto14.7
Teleop42.4
End8.6
red by 6.2
696
#8
59.51.0
57.058.0
Auto12.5
Teleop44.9
End2.1
Third
3925
#32
10.52.0
9.911.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 25.9
5285
#22
36.41.0
28.129.1
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned