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Red100
822935.5
145210.2
97358.0
Blue74
386326.9
114832.3
98779.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11017905015020025030010074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
68Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points0
100Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#11
58.00.6
55.254.5
Auto12.3
Teleop36.8
End9.0
blue by 21.8
987
#7
79.85.5
82.877.3
Auto19.7
Teleop50.1
End10.1
Second
8229
#19
35.50.6
39.638.9
Auto7.2
Teleop25.9
End2.4
red by 3.1
1148
#25
32.35.5
35.229.7
Auto5.7
Teleop21.9
End4.7
Third
1452
#29
10.20.6
12.912.3
Auto0.5
Teleop9.1
End0.6
blue by 16.7
3863
#33
26.95.5
38.232.7
Auto3.8
Teleop19.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned