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Red153
265939.6
69659.5
3512B25.3
Blue72
6560B18.1
528536.4
392510.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11651010015020015372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+75Teleop
+69Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +68
17Coral scored#9
62Coral points32
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
24Processor points6
32Net points12
56Algae points18
118Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
12Foul points0
153Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#8
59.52.3
58.060.4
Auto12.5
Teleop44.9
End2.1
red by 23.0
5285
#22
36.40.6
29.129.8
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End4.1
Second
2659
#16
39.62.3
31.133.4
Auto5.7
Teleop33.6
End0.3
red by 21.5
18.11.1
16.317.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Third
25.33.9
10.714.6
Auto1.8
Teleop20.9
End2.6
red by 14.8
3925
#32
10.50.6
11.812.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed