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Red199
375920.6
441493.4
347647.9
Blue156
242954.9
145210.2
35994.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152163050100200250300199156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+67Teleop
+55Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
32Coral scored#21
116Coral points75
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
148Total teleop109
Reef
14L4#10
14L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points12
199Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.43.9
87.291.1
Auto23.5
Teleop59.9
End10.0
blue by 0.9
359
#4
94.20.4
88.588.1
Auto18.6
Teleop63.4
End12.3
Second
47.93.9
37.541.3
Auto7.4
Teleop34.9
End5.6
blue by 7.0
2429
#15
54.90.4
48.948.6
Auto8.9
Teleop37.3
End8.7
Third
3759
#23
20.63.9
16.520.3
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End1.6
red by 10.4
1452
#29
10.20.4
12.311.9
Auto0.5
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned