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Red163
242954.9
3512B25.3
351246.3
Blue73
375920.6
973B19.1
386326.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1166105010015020016373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+62Teleop
+84Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
25Coral scored#9
90Coral points31
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
6Processor points18
16Net points8
22Algae points26
112Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
8L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
6Foul points0
163Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2429
#15
54.93.9
47.851.6
Auto8.9
Teleop37.3
End8.7
red by 28.0
3863
#33
26.90.6
27.227.8
Auto3.8
Teleop19.4
End3.8
Second
46.33.9
36.240.1
Auto7.7
Teleop29.9
End8.6
red by 25.7
3759
#23
20.60.6
19.920.5
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End1.6
Third
25.36.1
14.620.7
Auto1.8
Teleop20.9
End2.6
red by 6.2
973B
#28
19.10.9
17.017.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed